Changes in Temperature‐Precipitation Compound Extreme Events in China During the Past 119 Years

Author:

Peng Tingting1,Zhao Liang2ORCID,Zhang Ling1,Shen Xinyong13,Ding Yihui4ORCID,Wang Jingsong5,Li Qingquan16ORCID,Liu Yanju4ORCID,Hu Yamin7,Ling Jian2ORCID,Li Zhihui7,Huang Cunrui89

Affiliation:

1. Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing China

2. State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmosphere Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

3. Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) Zhuhai China

4. National Climate Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing China

5. Key Laboratory of Space Weather National Satellite Meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing China

6. Laboratory for Climate Studies National Climate Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing China

7. Guangdong Climate Center Guangzhou China

8. Vanke School of Public Health Tsinghua University Beijing China

9. Institute of Healthy China, Tsinghua University Beijing China

Abstract

AbstractThis study analyzes the change characteristics of compound extreme events (CEEs) of temperature and precipitation (including warm‐wet, warm‐dry, cold‐wet and cold‐dry) in China on interannual and interdecadal scales between 1901 and 2019. The results demonstrate a long‐term increasing trend and interdecadal oscillations in CEEs total frequency. However, the frequency of each type of CEEs changes in a different manner compared with total CEEs frequency. There are fewer CEEs but increasing warm‐dry during 1901–1950. The period 1951–1995 are characterized by frequent cold CEEs (cold‐wet and cold‐dry), cold‐wet are largely distributed in most areas except for northeast and coastal areas of China, while cold‐dry are distributed in most areas except for the northwest regions of China. There are frequent warm CEEs (warm‐wet and warm‐dry) and fewer cold CEEs during 1996–2019. Warm‐wet frequently occurs in the Tibetan Plateau and northwest China, and warm‐dry mainly concentrates in southwest and northern China during this period. The frequency of warm‐dry and cold‐wet were higher than that of warm‐wet and cold‐dry over the past 119 years, whereas warm‐wet increased fastest in the northwest region after 1996, consistent with the warming and wetting characteristics in the northwest region of China. Further study show that long‐term change and low frequency oscillations have the greatest impact on CEEs among different time scale factors. Furthermore, the temperature rise caused by climate change affects the interdecadal characteristics of CEEs in China through the changes of circulation fields such as East Asian trough and subtropical high and the configuration between them.

Publisher

American Geophysical Union (AGU)

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences,Environmental Science (miscellaneous)

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