Affiliation:
1. Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine Nanyang Technological University Singapore Singapore
2. Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health National University of Singapore Singapore Singapore
3. Ministry of Health Singapore Singapore
4. Tan Tock Seng Hospital Singapore Singapore
5. Asian School of the Environment Nanyang Technological University Singapore Singapore
Abstract
AbstractUnpredictable emergency department (ED) admissions challenge healthcare systems, causing resource allocation inefficiencies. This study analyses associations between air pollutants, meteorological factors, and 2,655,861 cause‐specific ED admissions from 2014 to 2018 across 12 categories. Generalized additive models were used to assess non‐linear associations for each exposure, yielding Incidence Rate Ratios (IRR), while the population attributable fraction (PAF) calculated each exposure's contribution to cause‐specific ED admissions. IRRs revealed increased risks of ED admissions for respiratory infections (IRR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.01–1.11) and infectious and parasitic diseases (IRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.03–1.15) during increased rainfall (13.21–16.97 mm). Wind speeds >12.73 km/hr corresponded to increased risks of ED admissions for respiratory infections (IRR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.03–1.21) and oral diseases (IRR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.31–1.91). Higher concentrations of air pollutants were associated with elevated risks of cardiovascular disease (IRR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.05–1.27 for PM10) and respiratory infection‐related ED admissions (IRR: 2.78, 95% CI: 1.69–4.56 for CO). Wind speeds >12.5 km/hr were predicted to contribute toward 10% of respiratory infection ED admissions, while mean temperatures >28°C corresponded to increases in the PAF up to 5% for genitourinary disorders and digestive diseases. PM10 concentrations >60 μg/m3 were highly attributable toward cardiovascular disease (PAF: 10%), digestive disease (PAF: 15%) and musculoskeletal disease (PAF: 10%) ED admissions. CO concentrations >0.6 ppm were highly attributable to respiratory infections (PAF: 20%) and diabetes mellitus (PAF: 20%) ED admissions. This study underscores protective effects of meteorological variables and deleterious impacts of air pollutant exposures across the ED admission categories considered.
Funder
Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University
Publisher
American Geophysical Union (AGU)