ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs

Author:

Weisheimer A.,Doblas-Reyes F. J.,Palmer T. N.,Alessandri A.,Arribas A.,Déqué M.,Keenlyside N.,MacVean M.,Navarra A.,Rogel P.

Publisher

American Geophysical Union (AGU)

Subject

General Earth and Planetary Sciences,Geophysics

Reference12 articles.

1. The ECMWF ORA-S3 ocean analysis system;Balmaseda;Mon. Weather Rev.,2008

2. Evaluation of the HadGEM2 model;Collins

3. Ensemble estimation of background-error variances in a three-dimensional variational data assimilation system for the global ocean;Daget;Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.,2009

4. The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting. Part II: Calibration and combination;Doblas-Reyes;Tellus, Ser. A,2005

5. Ocean circulation and tropical variability in the coupled model ECHAM5/MPI-OM;Jungclaus;J. Clim.,2006

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