Impact of the Eurasian Wave Train on the Interannual Variability of Autumn Precipitation in the Central Region of China

Abstract

AbstractAutumn precipitation in the central region of China (APCC) can considerably influence on agricultural production and human livelihood. With reanalysis data from 1979 to 2020, it revealed that APCC is significantly affected by the second mode of the meridional wind field at 200 hPa over the Eurasian continent on the interannual scale, which featured a quasi‐barotropic “+‐+” wave‐like pattern from Europe to China (EC pattern) in extratropical zone. When the EC pattern is in a positive phase, central China lags behind the downstream positive geopotential height (anticyclone) anomaly. In this context, the transport of moisture from the south and east is enhanced and the advancement of the southerly monsoon is blocked, providing sufficient water vapor to support the occurrence of APCC. Further diagnosis revealed that local ascending motion is strengthened owing to the warm advection induced by anomalous southerly and positive vorticity advection associated with the anomalous anticyclone over East Asia. Additionally, wave flux analysis and model simulation suggest that the EC pattern results from the propagation of stationary Rossby wave, which could be excited by dipole sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic. These discoveries will contribute to improving the predictability of APCC.