Diurnal Variations on the Initiation Time and Intensification Rate of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones

Abstract

AbstractThis study investigates whether the initiation time and intensification rate (INTRATE) of intensifying tropical cyclones (TCs) vary diurnally and how they are related to deep convection. TC intensifying events are identified and classified into slowly intensifying (SI) and rapidly intensifying (RI) events. RI events last ∼42 hr on average, much longer than SI events. More importantly, the onset of the TC intensification, especially RI, markedly peaks at 00–06 local time. However, the INTRATEs of both RI and SI events show very weak diurnal variability. The INTRATE continues to increase after RI initiation and slightly peaks in the late afternoon (at 90% significance level). Inner‐core convection of all intensifying events maximizes in the early morning, in phase with the peak initiation time. In short, our results suggest that the nocturnally enhanced inner‐core convection may play a role in triggering TC intensification (e.g., RI), but not maximizing the INTRATE.