Author:
Schultis Sebastian,Seuffert Stefan,Stramka Sebastian
Abstract
Abstract
The assumptions underlying the German Federal Statistical Office’s population projections have evolved, resulting in a moderate increase in the old-age dependency ratio. Previous scenarios anticipated larger gains in life expectancy, leading to demographic aging. However, consistently heightened migration patterns have counteracted the projections. The dual aging process in demographic change has now transformed into a triple demographic transformation, which may have fiscal implications beyond demographic aging.
Reference14 articles.
1. Auerbach, A. J., J. Gokhale und L. J. Kotlikoff (1991), Generational Accounts: A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting, Tax Policy and the Economy, 5, 55-110.
2. Auerbach, A. J., J. Gokhale und L. J. Kotlikoff (1992), Generational Accounting: A New Approach to Understanding the Effects of Fiscal Policy on Saving, The Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 94.2, 303318.
3. Auerbach, A. J., J. Gokhale und L. J. Kotlikoff (1994), Generational Accounting: A Meaningful Way to Evaluate Fiscal Policy, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 8.1, 73-94.
4. BMI – Bundesministerium des Innern und für Heimat (2000), Modellrechnungen zur Bevölkerungsentwicklung in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland bis zum Jahr 2050.
5. Bonin, H. (2001), Generational Accounting: Theory and Application (Zugl.: Freiburg i. Br., Univ., Diss., 2000), Population Economics, Bd. 9, Springer.