Nominal, Structural and Real Convergence of the EU Candidate Countries’ Economies

Author:

Bobeva Daniela1

Affiliation:

1. Economic Research Institute at the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences , Bulgaria

Abstract

Abstract Despite the significant academic interest in the economic cohesion, the various aspects of convergence and the ways they can be measured still remain theoretically unclear. These are issues of extreme political significance, especially for countries aspiring for EU and euro area membership. The goal of this paper is to consolidate a variety of theoretical views on the convergence and its measurement and use it as the basis to assess the progress and the current state of economic convergence to the EU of the four candidate countries. The interrelation between the three forms of convergence in the different phases of the economic cycle is studied and the slobs in the ways the convergence is measured are outlined. The study reveals large differences between the candidate countries in achieving convergence with the EU. Their experiences do not confirm the positive relationship between nominal and real convergence. The structural convergence considered as convergence of sectoral structure has but little impact on the real convergence.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Subject

Strategy and Management,Economics and Econometrics,Finance

Reference19 articles.

1. 1. Angelini, E., Bańbura, M. and Rünstler, G. (October 2008 2005). Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model. ECB working papers.

2. 2. Bickenbach, F. and Bode, E. (2008). Disproportionality Measures of Concentration, Specialization, and Localization. International Regional Science Review, Vol. 31, N 4, pp. 359-388.

3. 3. Bobeva, D. (2017). Nominal and Real Convergence. Adoption of the Euro. – In: “The Bulgarian Economy: 10 Years in the EU”, pp. 15-38 (in Bulgarian) [Бобева, Д. (2017). Номинална и реална конвергенция. Приемане на еврото. – In: “Българската икономика: 10 години в ЕС“, с. 15-38].

4. 4. Bobeva, D. and Zlatinov, D. (2018). Ten Years since the Start of the Global Financial Economic Crisis – Lessons and Necessary Reforms. – In: Annual Report 2018 “Economic Development and Policy in Bulgaria: Evaluations and Expectations” (in Bulgarian) [Бобева, Д, Златинов, Д. (2018). Десет години от началото на глобалната финансово-икономическа криза – поуки и необходими реформи. – In: Годишен доклад 2018 “Икономическо развитие и политика в България: оценки и очаквания”].

5. 5. Buti, M. (2018). Economic and Monetary Union – Deepening and Convergence. Conference organized by OeNB and WKÖ, July 2018, https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/info/files/economy-finance/slides_linz_marco_buti_18062018.pdf.

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