Butcher’s Bills: Engagement-level preponderance and casualties in the French Revolution Wars and Napoleonic Wars, 1792–1815

Author:

Hickman John1

Affiliation:

1. Evans Hall 111, Department of Political Science and International Studies , Berry College . Mt. Berry , GA , USA

Abstract

Abstract This article reports findings from an empirical investigation of the generalization captured in the aphorism that ‘god is on the side with the biggest battalions.’ Departing from the focus on major or decisive battles in previous studies, this quantitative analysis using ordered logit and ordinary least squares regression of two data sets of 945 and 823 large, medium and small engagements between the armies of France and its enemies during the Wars of the French Revolution and Napoleonic Wars from 1792 to 1815 reveals that a preponderance of numbers was positively associated with victory but also higher casualties.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Reference99 articles.

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2. 2 Kirkpatrick, D. L. (2021). How Important are Superior Numbers? A Reappraisal of Lanchester’s Square Law. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p. 5;

3. Clark, S. (2013). Wearing away the stone: Assessing theories of combat attrition. Comparative Strategy, 32(2), pp. 115–132, p. 116.

4. 3 Lettre 118—De Mme De Sévigné a Mme De Grignan. Lettres de Madame de Sévigné. Firmin Didot, Paris, p. 1846.

5. 4 The success of non-violent mass movements is also associated with the number of their participants. Beissinger, M. R. (2022). The Revolutionary City: Urbanization and the Global Transformation of Rebellion. Princeton University Press, Princeton, pp. 175–180.

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