Bitcoin daily close price prediction using optimized grid search method

Author:

Rostami Marzieh1,Bahaghighat Mahdi2,Zanjireh Morteza Mohammadi3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Information Technology Engineering , Raja University of Qazvin , Qazvin , Iran

2. Department of Computer Engineering , Imam Khomeini International University , Qazvin , Iran

3. Department of Computer Engineering , Imam Khomeini International, University , Qazvin , Iran

Abstract

Abstract Cryptocurrencies are digital assets that can be stored and transferred electronically. Bitcoin (BTC) is one of the most popular cryptocurrencies that has attracted many attentions. The BTC price is considered as a high volatility time series with non-stationary and non-linear behavior. Therefore, the BTC price forecasting is a new, challenging, and open problem. In this research, we aim the predicting price using machine learning and statistical techniques. We deploy several robust approaches such as the Box-Jenkins, Autoregression (AR), Moving Average (MA), ARIMA, Autocorrelation Function (ACF), Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF), and Grid Search algorithms to predict BTC price. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, Forecast Error (FE), Mean Forecast Error (MFE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), as well as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), are considered in our study.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

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