The Impact of Dieselgate on the Required Rate of Return on Equity of VW, BMW and Daimler

Author:

Čižinská Romana1ORCID,Matějková Pavlína2,Neset Pavel3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Finance and Accounting , ŠKODA AUTO University

2. ŠKODA AUTO University

3. Department of Law and Economics , ŠKODA AUTO University

Abstract

Abstract Our paper studies the impacts of the Dieselgate scandal on the required rate of return on equity investments into VW, Daimler, and BMW. The object of investigation is the beta coefficient that determines the risk premium in the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Our research takes a deep dive into the developments from the turning point of the scandal (the EPA NOTICE 2015) on September 18, 2015 – when a Notice of Violation of the Clean Air Act was issued to Volkswagen by the EPA – to the end of February 2016. This period also covers FORMAL COMMENCEMENT 2016, when the U.S. Department of Justice first sued Volkswagen on behalf of the EPA. The spillover (contagion) effect of fraudulent practices of VW impacted BMW, Daimler and other companies in the industry that share a similar business model and market segment. Our research of historical market betas has not confirmed the expectation that in the context of the Dieselgate scandal the return required on equity investments into VW, Daimler, and BMW would soar. The Dieselgate scandal proves that the reliability of beta estimates is an inverse function of market volatility. Historical market beta is, therefore, not a good estimate of the required rate of return for the companies in question.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Reference28 articles.

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2. Aichner, T., Coletti, P., Jacob, F., Wilken, R. (2020). Did the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal Harm the “Made in Germany” Image? A Cross-Cultural, Cross-Products, Cross-Time Study. Corporate Reputation Review, September 2020. DOI: 10.1057/s41299-020-00101.

3. Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. 1st edition. McGraw-Hill Education.

4. Bouzzine, Y., Lueg, R. (2020). The Contagion Effect of Environmental Violations: The Case of Dieselgate in Germany. Business Strategy And The Environment, 29(8), July 2020, 3187-3202. DOI: 10.1002/bse.2566.

5. Čižinská, R., Neset, P. (2020). The Relationship Between Economic Value Added and Turnover to GDP Ratio of Automotive Industry in EU-27 Countries. In ICAI - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Automotive Industry (pp. 186-196). ŠKODA AUTO University. Retrieved from: https://cld.bz/zaOi7qu. Access: December 14, 2020.

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