Should Russian Military Leaders Opt for Tactical Escalation in the Baltic States and Kaliningrad?1

Author:

Pudāns Col. Kaspars1

Affiliation:

1. Armed Forces of Latvia , Latvia

Abstract

Abstract Russia once again pushes its way to emerge as a major power in the international order after losing this status in the modern ‘time of troubles’ in the 1990s. Its political and military strategic leaders demonstrated willingness to employ all instruments of power as means of escalation to achieve this goal. Meanwhile, tactical military commanders are the ones in direct control of military escalation means and therefore their motivations, agility and rationality are also important factor in the Russian escalation processes towards the West. This research will look at these processes through lenses of game and decision-making theories.

Publisher

Walter de Gruyter GmbH

Reference38 articles.

1. Army Technology News. 2014. Russian Army's aviation brigade begins combat training flights near Baltic border. Army Techology Web site. [Online] 30 April 2014. [Cited: 13 February 2021.] https://www.army-technology.com/news/newsrussian-armys-aviation-brigade-begins-combat-training-flights-near-baltic-border-4256015/.

2. Askari, Gholamreza, Eshaghi, Madjid G and Park, Choonkil. 2019. The behavioral model and game theory. Palgrave Communications. 2019, Vol. 5, 57.

3. Batashvili, David. 2019. Russian Military Transformation Tracker: Issue 1, August 2018–July 2019. Tbilisi: Georgian Foundation for Strategic and International Studies, 2019.

4. Blachford, Kevin. 2020. Western orientalism and the threat from Russia. Comparative Strategy. 2020, Vol. 39, 4, pp. 354–367.

5. Carlson, Lisa J. 1995. A Theory of Escalation and International Conflict. The Journal of Conflict Resolution. 1995, Vol. 39, 3, pp. 511–534.

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