Analysis of the possibility for seismic early warning in the Balkan Peninsula

Abstract

This study analyses the possibility for seismic early warning (EW) in the Balkan Peninsula. A number of characteristics of seismic record were evaluated for EW utility. Some tests checked the possibility to locate events reliably by Golitsyn’s method, using one seismic station (SS). The distance and relevant travel time from some crustal faults to the nearest SS and big towns were appraised. EW procedures for most of the seismic zones in the Balkan Peninsula are not reliable, excepting the Vrancea zone, because of the small density of the SS, crustal depth of the earthquakes and fault crowdedness of the region.