International Economic Relations’ Risk Criterion-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

International Economic Relations’ Risk Criterion

Published:2014-12-17 Issue:6 Volume:2 Page:23-27
ISSN:2308-2844
Container-title:Economics
language:en
Short-container-title:

Author:

Басовская ,Basovskaya Elena,Басовский ,Basovskiy Leonid

Abstract

A criterion for an assessment of international economic relations’ risks has been offered. This criterion is based on proposed approach to assessment of risks for world economic dynamics and economic dynamics of different countries and territories. The economic dynamics risk is estimated by comparison of economic growth rates’ average size and a risk measure — a mean square deviation of growth rates. Definition for a line of market of international economic relations’ prospects is offered, similar to the capital market line in the financial assets’ profitability model (CAPM). On the basis of IMF data for 2004-2013 the economic dynamics risks for Europe and CIS countries have been estimated. It has been established that in Europe only economies of Switzerland, Poland, Albania and Malta have the risks below the world economy ones. From among the largest economies the smallest risks have economies of Great Britain, Germany and France. The greatest risks have economies of Italy and Spain. In the CIS only Belarus, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan have the risks below the world economy ones. From among the CIS countries the Ukraine has the worst risk criteria.

Publisher

Infra-M Academic Publishing House

Reference7 articles.

1. Басовский Л.Е. Мировая экономика. М.: ИНФРА-М, 2004. 208 с., Basovskiy L.E. Mirovaya ekonomika [World economy]. Moscow, INFRA-M Publ., 2004. 208 p. (in Russian)

2. Басовский Л.Е., Басовская Е.Н. Маркетинг. М.: ИНФРА-М, 2010. 421 с., Basovskiy L.E., Basovskaya E.N. Marketing [Marketing]. Moscow, INFRA-M Publ., 2010. 421 p. (in Russian)

3. Перская В.В. Влияние рисков современных международных экономических отношений на развитие экономики России // Горизонты экономики. 2013. №5(10). С. 3–9., Perskaya V.V. Influence of risks of the modern international economic relations on development of economy of Russia. Gorizonty ekonomiki [Economy Horizons]. 2013, I. 5(10), pp. 3–9. (in Russian)

4. Байков А.А., Истомин И.А. Неожиданные партнеры России на Ближнем и Среднем Востоке // Международные процессы. 2013. № 2(33). С. 115–134., Bikes A.A., Istomin I.A. Unexpected partners of Russia in the Middle East. Mezhdunarodnye processy [The International processes]. 2013, I. 2(33), pp. 115–134. (in Russian)

5. Бауэр В., Дубков С., Кузнецова Ю., Дадалко В. Финансовый кризис как ресурс развития инструментария глобального регулирования // Бизнес в законе. 2011. № 4. С. 296–304., Bauer W. Dubkov S., Kuznetsova Yu., Dadalko of Century. Financial crisis as a resource of development of tools of global regulation. Biznes v zakone [Business in the law]. 2011, I. 4, pp. 296–304. (in Russian)