Advanced serrated polyps as a target of screening: detection rate and positive predictive value within a fecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer screening population

Abstract

Background Advanced serrated polyps (ASPs) have a comparable risk to advanced adenomas for progression to colorectal cancer (CRC). The yield of most CRC screening programs, however, is based on advanced adenomas and CRC only. We assessed the ASP detection rate, and positive predictive value (PPV) including ASPs in a fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-based screening program. Methods We analyzed the findings of follow-up colonoscopies of FIT-positive screenees in the Dutch CRC screening program from 2014 until 2020. Data were retrieved from the national screening and pathology database. An ASP was defined as any serrated polyp of ≥ 10 mm, sessile serrated lesion with dysplasia, or traditional serrated adenoma. The ASP detection rate was defined as the proportion of colonoscopies with ≥ 1 ASP. PPV was originally defined as the proportion of individuals with a CRC or advanced adenoma. The updated PPV definition included CRCs, advanced adenomas, and/or ASPs. Results 322 882 colonoscopies were included in the analyses. The overall detection rate of ASPs was 5.9 %. ASPs were detected more often in women than men (6.3 % vs. 5.6 %; P < 0.001). ASP detection rates in individuals aged 55–59, 60–64, 65–69, and 70 + were 5.2 %, 6.1 %, 6.1 %, and 5.9 %, respectively (P < 0.001). The PPV for CRCs and advanced adenomas was 41.1 % and increased to 43.8 % when including ASPs. The PPV increase was larger in women than in men (3.2 vs. 2.4 percentage points). Conclusions 5.9 % of FIT-positive screenees had ASPs, but half of these were detected in combination with a CRC or advanced adenoma. Therefore, including ASPs results in a small increase in the yield of FIT-based screening.