Evaluation of water resources carrying capacity in China based on entropy weight TOPSIS model

Abstract

Water resources carrying capacity refers to the ability of the water resources ecosystem to continuously carry the coordination relationship between human society and economy in the normal development process of a country or a region. Its self-sustaining ability, self-regulation and self-development potential often hinder sustainable development in water shortage areas. Research on water resources’ carrying capacity is a meaningful way to support regional water resources security and realize harmonious development of society, economy, and ecological environment. Correct assessment of water carrying capacity and response to government policies will contribute to improved water use and sustainable economic and social development. This study first sorts out the relevant questionnaires of water resources carrying capacity level evaluation, proposes the evaluation indicators of water resources carrying capacity level, collects and standardizes the required data, and calculates the weight of each evaluation index by entropy weight method. Then, it calculates the comprehensive evaluation value of China’s water resources carrying capacity from 2012 to 2022 in the TOPSIS model. The results show that the total afforestation area, total investment in environmental pollution control, and total industrial wastewater discharge are the third most important factors in improving the carrying capacity of water resources. From 2003 to 2010, China’s water resources carrying capacity improved year by year. From 2011 to 2021, China’s water resources carrying capacity remained stable year by year. The continuous adjustment of China’s industrial structure and strengthening environmental pollution control are inevitable measures to improve the carrying capacity of China’s water resources. This study provides a scientific basis for exploring the changing trend of China’s water resources carrying capacity and formulating reasonable optimal allocation of water resources. It also has great significance for promoting China’s water resources’ carrying capacity and sustainable development of the social economy and ecological environment.