Affiliation:
1. Politeknik Statistika STIS, Jakarta, Indonesia
2. BPS Statistics Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia
Abstract
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) stands as a pivotal indicator, offering strategic insights into economic dynamics. Recent technological advancements, particularly in real-time information dissemination through online economic news platforms, provide an accessible and alternative data source for analyzing GDP movements. This study employs online news classification to identify patterns in the movement and growth rate of Indonesia’s GDP. Utilizing a web scraping technique, we collected data for analysis. The classification models employed include transfer learning from pre-trained language model transformers, with classical machine learning methods serving as baseline models. The results indicate superior performance by the pre-trained language model transformers, achieving the highest accuracy of 0.8880 and 0.7899. In comparison, hyperparameter-tuned classical machine learning models also demonstrated commendable results, with the best accuracy reaching 0.845 and 0.7811. This research underscores the efficacy of leveraging online news classification, particularly through advanced language models. The findings contribute to a nuanced understanding of economic dynamics, aligning with the contemporary landscape of information accessibility and technological progress.
Reference34 articles.
1. Impact of COVID-19 on the world economy;Manna;Journal of Climate Change,2023
2. The economic impact of recession announcements;Eggers;Journal of Monetary Economics,2021
3. BPS. Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Triwulanan 2017–2021. Badan Pusat Statistik. 2021.
4. Mankiw G, Quah E, Wilson P. Pengantar Ekonomi Makro, Edisi Ketiga, Salemba Empat. Jakarta. ISBN: 9789790613560.
5. Robust official business statistics methodology during COVID-19-related and other economic downturns;Smith;Statistical Journal of the IAOS,2021