Analysis of GDP based on polynomial regression and BP neural network

Author:

Dai Linlin12,Han Bo1,Li Jing12,Feng Xuejie12

Affiliation:

1. School of Mathematics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Hei Longjiang, Harbin, China

2. School of Data Science, Qingdao Huanghai University, Shandong, Qingdao, China

Abstract

GDP(Gross Domestic Product) is the important index for measuring economic development. Quantitative analysis and prediction for GDP can regulate the economic development trend and promote steady economic development. In this article, we used Jiangsu province as an example. Firstly, we determined to 19 indexes which could explain GDP potentially by national economic accounting theory, and a quadratic polynomial regression model was used between the GDP and the principal factor. Secondly, in order to efficiently predict the GDP, we established a BP neural network model with excellent parameter taking 19 indexes as independent variable and GDP as dependent variable. Finally, we came to the conclusion about the GDP of Jiangsu province, and some suggestions for development were given.

Publisher

IOS Press

Subject

Artificial Intelligence,General Engineering,Statistics and Probability

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