Machine Learning-Derived MRI-Based Neurodegeneration Biomarker for Alzheimer’s Disease: A Multi-Database Validation Study

Abstract

Background: Pilot study showed that Alzheimer’s disease resemblance atrophy index (AD-RAI), a machine learning-derived MRI-based neurodegeneration biomarker of AD, achieved excellent diagnostic performance in diagnosing AD with moderate to severe dementia. Objective: The primary objective was to validate and compare the performance of AD-RAI with conventional volumetric hippocampal measures in diagnosing AD with mild dementia. The secondary objectives were 1) to investigate the association between imaging biomarkers with age and gender among cognitively unimpaired (CU) participants; 2) to analyze whether the performance of differentiating AD with mild dementia from CU will improve after adjustment for age/gender. Methods: AD with mild dementia (n = 218) and CU (n = 1,060) participants from 4 databases were included. We investigated the area under curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and balanced accuracy of AD-RAI, hippocampal volume (HV), and hippocampal fraction (HF) in differentiating between AD and CU participants. Among amyloid-negative CU participants, we further analyzed correlation between the biomarkers with age/gender. We also investigated whether adjustment for age/gender will affect performance. Results: The AUC of AD-RAI (0.93) was significantly higher than that of HV (0.89) and HF (0.89). Subgroup analysis among A + AD and A- CU showed that AUC of AD-RAI (0.97) was also higher than HV (0.94) and HF (0.93). Diagnostic performance of AD-RAI and HF was not affected by age/gender while that of HV improved after age adjustment. Conclusions: AD-RAI achieves excellent clinical validity and outperforms conventional volumetric hippocampal measures in aiding the diagnosis of AD mild dementia without the need for age adjustment.