A pilot study of radiomics signature based on biparametric MRI for preoperative prediction of extrathyroidal extension in papillary thyroid carcinoma

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To investigate efficiency of radiomics signature to preoperatively predict histological features of aggressive extrathyroidal extension (ETE) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with biparametric magnetic resonance imaging findings. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Sixty PTC patients with preoperative MR including T2WI and T2WI-fat-suppression (T2WI-FS) were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 35 had ETE and 25 did not. Pre-contrast T2WI and T2WI-FS images depicting the largest section of tumor were selected. Tumor regions were manually segmented using ITK-SNAP software and 107 radiomics features were computed from the segmented regions using the open Pyradiomics package. Then, a random forest model was built to do classification in which the datasets were partitioned randomly 10 times to do training and testing with ratio of 1:1. Furthermore, forward greedy feature selection based on feature importance was adopted to reduce model overfitting. Classification accuracy was estimated on the test set using area under ROC curve (AUC). RESULTS: The model using T2WI-FS image features yields much higher performance than the model using T2WI features (AUC = 0.906 vs. 0.760 using 107 features). Among the top 10 important features of T2WI and T2WI-FS, there are 5 common features. After feature selection, the models trained using top 2 features of T2WI and the top 6 features of T2WI-FS achieve AUC 0.845 and 0.928, respectively. Combining features computed from T2WI and T2WI-FS, model performance decreases slightly (AUC = 0.882 based on all features and AUC = 0.913 based on top features after feature selection). Adjusting hyper parameters of the random forest model have negligible influence on the model performance with mean AUC = 0.907 for T2WI-FS images. CONCLUSIONS: Radiomics features based on pre-contrast T2WI and T2WI-FS is helpful to predict aggressive ETE in PTC. Particularly, the model trained using the optimally selected T2WI-FS image features yields the best classification performance. The most important features relate to lesion size and the texture heterogeneity of the tumor region.