Comparative study of Moroccan stock price prediction with trend technical indicators

Author:

Ifleh AbdelhadiORCID,Bilal AzdineORCID,El Kabbouri Mounime

Abstract

Predicting future prices is challenging for both scholars and traders due to the high frequency and complexity of stock markets (SMs). The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) states that stock prices (SPs) follow a random walk and are unpredictably fluctuating. Furthermore, the price contains all accessible data, and we can’t extrapolate profitability from previous or current data, thus technical analysis (TA) is ineffective for projecting future prices. Technical indicators (TI) are calculated using past prices, and they are divided into two categories: trend TI and oscillators. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of predictions for three stocks traded on the Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE): IAM, Attijari Wafa Bank (ATW), and Banque Centrale Populaire (BCP). We combined trend TI with Long Short Term Memory model (LTSM) to make predictions and compared the results to the Random Forest model (RF). We also use Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) to assess prediction accuracy. As a result, LSTM outperforms the RF model in terms of prediction.

Publisher

IOS Press

Subject

General Medicine

Reference26 articles.

1. An integrated framework of deep learning and knowledge graph for prediction of stock price trend: An application in Chinese stock exchange market;Long;Applied Soft Computing Journal,2020

2. Convolution on neural networks for high-frequency trend prediction of cryptocurrency exchange rates using technical indicators;Alonso-Monsalve;Expert Syst Appl,2020

3. Literature review: Machine learning techniques applied to financial market prediction;Henrique;Expert Systems with Applications,2019

4. Technical analysis andsentiment embeddings for market trend prediction;Ratto;Expert Syst Appl,2019

5. Optimal Feature Selection of Technical Indicator and Stock Prediction Using Machine Learning Technique;Naik;International Conference on Emerging Technologies in Computer Engineering (ICETCE 2019),2019

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3