CA125 normalization within 60 days as an independent prognostic factor for patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer

Abstract

BACKGROUND: CA125 level normalization at different chemotherapy cycles has been reported to be a prognosticator in advanced epithelial ovarian cancer. OBJECTIVE: In the present study, we investigated whether the time (in days) to CA125 normalization or nadir during treatment could be used as markers to predict survival. METHODS: Patients with FIGO stage III–IV epithelial ovarian cancer treated with cytoreductive surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy between 2008 and 2016 were enrolled in this retrospective study. Clinicopathological characteristics, changes in CA125 level during treatment, and survival outcomes were analyzed. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off values of the time to normalization and time to nadir of CA125 levels to predict survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to examine the impact of each variable on survival. RESULTS: A total of 106 patients were included in the analysis. The optimal cut-off values for the time to normalization and nadir for predicting survival were 60 and 194 days, respectively. In Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, CA125 level normalization ⩽ 60 days and CA125 ⩽ 35 u/mL after the third cycle, and CA125 level ⩽ 10 u/mL after the sixth cycle of chemotherapy were associated with significantly better 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). In multivariate analysis, only CA125 level normalization > 60 days was significantly associated with poor survival outcomes (PFS, HR 2.62 [95% CI: 1.54, 4.45], p= 0.004; OS, HR 2.40 [95% CI: 1.19, 4.81], p= 0.014). CONCLUSIONS: Normalization of CA125 level within 60 days after cytoreductive surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced ovarian epithelial cancer could be used as a marker to predict survival.