Planned delivery for pre-eclampsia between 34 and 37 weeks of gestation: the PHOENIX RCT

Author:

Chappell Lucy C1ORCID,Brocklehurst Peter2ORCID,Green Marcus3ORCID,Hardy Pollyanna4ORCID,Hunter Rachael5ORCID,Beardmore-Gray Alice1ORCID,Bowler Ursula4ORCID,Brockbank Anna1ORCID,Chiocchia Virginia4ORCID,Cox Alice1ORCID,Duhig Kate1ORCID,Fleminger Jessica1ORCID,Gill Carolyn6ORCID,Greenland Melanie4ORCID,Hendy Eleanor1ORCID,Kennedy Ann4ORCID,Leeson Paul7ORCID,Linsell Louise4ORCID,McCarthy Fergus P8ORCID,O’Driscoll Jamie9ORCID,Placzek Anna4ORCID,Poston Lucilla1ORCID,Robson Stephen10ORCID,Rushby Pauline4ORCID,Sandall Jane1ORCID,Scholtz Laura1ORCID,Seed Paul T1ORCID,Sparkes Jenie1ORCID,Stanbury Kayleigh4ORCID,Tohill Sue6ORCID,Thilaganathan Basky11ORCID,Townend John12ORCID,Juszczak Edmund13ORCID,Marlow Neil14ORCID,Shennan Andrew1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Life Course Sciences, King’s College London, London, UK

2. Birmingham Clinical Trials Unit, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK

3. Action on Pre-eclampsia, Evesham, UK

4. National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit Clinical Trials Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

5. Research Department of Primary Care and Population Health, University College London, London, UK

6. Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK

7. Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

8. Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Cork, Cork, Ireland

9. School of Psychology and Life Sciences, Canterbury Christ Church University, Kent, UK

10. Population Health Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK

11. Fetal Medicine Unit, St George’s University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK

12. Frontier Science (Scotland) Ltd, Kincraig, UK

13. Nottingham Clinical Trials Unit, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK

14. Institute for Women’s Health, University College London, London, UK

Abstract

Background In women with late preterm pre-eclampsia (i.e. at 34+0 to 36+6 weeks’ gestation), the optimal delivery time is unclear because limitation of maternal–fetal disease progression needs to be balanced against infant complications. The aim of this trial was to determine whether or not planned earlier initiation of delivery reduces maternal adverse outcomes without substantial worsening of perinatal or infant outcomes, compared with expectant management, in women with late preterm pre-eclampsia. Methods We undertook an individually randomised, triple non-masked controlled trial in 46 maternity units across England and Wales, with an embedded health economic evaluation, comparing planned delivery and expectant management (usual care) in women with late preterm pre-eclampsia. The co-primary maternal outcome was a maternal morbidity composite or recorded systolic blood pressure of ≥ 160 mmHg (superiority hypothesis). The co-primary short-term perinatal outcome was a composite of perinatal deaths or neonatal unit admission (non-inferiority hypothesis). Analyses were by intention to treat, with an additional per-protocol analysis for the perinatal outcome. The primary 2-year infant neurodevelopmental outcome was measured using the PARCA-R (Parent Report of Children’s Abilities-Revised) composite score. The planned sample size of the trial was 900 women; the trial is now completed. We undertook two linked substudies. Results Between 29 September 2014 and 10 December 2018, 901 women were recruited; 450 women [448 women (two withdrew consent) and 471 infants] were allocated to planned delivery and 451 women (451 women and 475 infants) were allocated to expectant management. The incidence of the co-primary maternal outcome was significantly lower in the planned delivery group [289 (65%) women] than in the expectant management group [338 (75%) women] (adjusted relative risk 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.79 to 0.94; p = 0.0005). The incidence of the co-primary perinatal outcome was significantly higher in the planned delivery group [196 (42%) infants] than in the expectant management group [159 (34%) infants] (adjusted relative risk 1.26, 95% confidence interval 1.08 to 1.47; p = 0.0034), but indicators of neonatal morbidity were similar in both groups. At 2-year follow-up, the mean PARCA-R scores were 89.5 points (standard deviation 18.2 points) for the planned delivery group (290 infants) and 91.9 points (standard deviation 18.4 points) for the expectant management group (256 infants), both within the normal developmental range (adjusted mean difference –2.4 points, 95% confidence interval –5.4 to 0.5 points; non-inferiority p = 0.147). Planned delivery was significantly cost-saving (–£2711, 95% confidence interval –£4840 to –£637) compared with expectant management. There were nine serious adverse events in the planned delivery group and 12 in the expectant management group. Conclusion In women with late preterm pre-eclampsia, planned delivery reduces short-term maternal morbidity compared with expectant management, with more neonatal unit admissions related to prematurity but no indicators of greater short-term neonatal morbidity (such as need for respiratory support). At 2-year follow-up, around 60% of parents reported follow-up scores. Average infant development was within the normal range for both groups; the small between-group mean difference in PARCA-R scores is unlikely to be clinically important. Planned delivery was significantly cost-saving to the health service. These findings should be discussed with women with late preterm pre-eclampsia to allow shared decision-making on timing of delivery. Limitations Limitations of the trial include the challenges of finding a perinatal outcome that adequately represented the potential risks of both groups and a maternal outcome that reflects the multiorgan manifestations of pre-eclampsia. The incidences of maternal and perinatal primary outcomes were higher than anticipated on the basis of previous studies, but this did not limit interpretation of the analysis. The trial was limited by a higher loss to follow-up rate than expected, meaning that the extent and direction of bias in outcomes (between responders and non-responders) is uncertain. A longer follow-up period (e.g. up to 5 years) would have enabled us to provide further evidence on long-term infant outcomes, but this runs the risk of greater attrition and increased expense. Future work We identified a number of further questions that could be prioritised through a formal scoping process, including uncertainties around disease-modifying interventions, prognostic factors, longer-term follow-up, the perspectives of women and their families, meta-analysis with other studies, effect of a similar intervention in other health-care settings, and clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of other related policies around neonatal unit admission in late preterm birth. Trial registration The trial was prospectively registered as ISRCTN01879376. Funding This project was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in Health Technology Assessment. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Funder

Health Technology Assessment programme

Publisher

National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR)

Subject

Health Policy

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