EVALUATION OF NEW DEVELOPED MODELS FOR ESTIMATION OF DIFFUSE SOLAR RADIATION OVER IKEJA, LAGOS STATE, NIGERIA

Author:

Akpootu D. O.,Salifu Simeon Imaben,Idris M.,Nouhou I.,Kola T. A.,Yusuf A.,Agidi O. E.,Aliyu M. A.

Abstract

This study investigates the estimation of diffuse solar radiation in Ikeja, Nigeria (6.58°N, 3.33°E, 39.40m above sea level). Employing a 22-year dataset (2001-2022) of monthly average climatic data from NASA website, nineteen new models were developed to predict diffuse solar radiation. These models incorporated various meteorological parameters including global solar radiation, wind speed, temperature, pressure, and relative humidity. A categorized approach was used, with models falling into five groups: modified Page, Liu and Jordan; clearness index with one additional variable; two-variable; three-variable; and a four-variable model. Evaluation using five statistical tests tools of Mean Bias Error (MBE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Percentage Error (MPE), t-test, and Coefficient of determination (R²) identified Equation 28h (the model relating diffuse radiation to clearness index and temperature) as the most suitable model out of all the models in each of the five categories for estimation of diffuse solar radiation for Ikeja. Hence, emphasizing the importance of considering both atmospheric clarity and temperature for accurate diffuse solar radiation estimation in this coastal location.

Publisher

Federal University Dutsin-Ma

Reference43 articles.

1. Akpootu, D. O., & Abdullahi, Z. (2022). Development of Sunshine Based Models for Estimating Global Solar Radiation over Kano and Ikeja, Nigeria. FUDMA Journal of Sciences, 6(3), 290-300. https://doi.org/10.33003/fjs-2022- 0603-1001

2. Akpootu, D. O., & Iliyasu, M. I. (2015a). A comparative study of some meteorological parameters for predicting global solar radiation in Kano, Nigeria based on three variable correlations. Advances in Physics Theories and Applications, 49, 1–9.

3. Akpootu, D. O., & Iliyasu, M. I. (2015b). The impact of some meteorological variables on the estimation of global solar radiation in Kano, North Western, Nigeria. Journal of Natural Sciences Research, 5(22), 1–13.

4. Akpootu, D. O., & Momoh, M. (2014). Empirical model for estimating global solar radiation in Makurdi, Benue State, North Central Nigeria. Paper presented at the 36th Annual Nigerian Institute of Physics, National Conference, University of Uyo, Nigeria. 26th -29th May, 2014.

5. Akpootu, D. O., & Mustapha, W. (2015). Estimation of Diffuse Solar Radiation for Yola, Adamawa State, North-Eastern Nigeria. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology, 2(8), 77-82.

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