Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios

Author:

Cai WenjuORCID,Ng BenjaminORCID,Wang GuojianORCID,Santoso AgusORCID,Wu LixinORCID,Yang KaiORCID

Abstract

AbstractSea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact, and its future change is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the IPCC reports no systematic change in ENSO SST variability under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in century-long ENSO SST variability under four IPCC plausible emission scenarios.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Social Sciences (miscellaneous),Environmental Science (miscellaneous)

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