Spatial and temporal dynamics of West Nile virus between Africa and Europe

Author:

Mencattelli GiuliaORCID,Ndione Marie Henriette Dior,Silverj Andrea,Diagne Moussa Moise,Curini Valentina,Teodori Liana,Di Domenico MarcoORCID,Mbaye Rassoul,Leone Alessandra,Marcacci Maurilia,Gaye Alioune,Ndiaye ElHadji,Diallo Diawo,Ancora Massimo,Secondini Barbara,Di Lollo Valeria,Mangone Iolanda,Bucciacchio Andrea,Polci Andrea,Marini GiovanniORCID,Rosà RobertoORCID,Segata NicolaORCID,Fall Gamou,Cammà Cesare,Monaco Federica,Diallo Mawlouth,Rota-Stabelli OmarORCID,Faye Oumar,Rizzoli Annapaola,Savini Giovanni

Abstract

AbstractIt is unclear whether West Nile virus (WNV) circulates between Africa and Europe, despite numerous studies supporting an African origin and high transmission in Europe. We integrated genomic data with geographic observations and phylogenetic and phylogeographic inferences to uncover the spatial and temporal viral dynamics of WNV between these two continents. We focused our analysis towards WNV lineages 1 (L1) and 2 (L2), the most spatially widespread and pathogenic WNV lineages. Our study shows a Northern-Western African origin of L1, with back-and-forth exchanges between West Africa and Southern-Western Europe; and a Southern African origin of L2, with one main introduction from South Africa to Europe, and no back introductions observed. We also noticed a potential overlap between L1 and L2 Eastern and Western phylogeography and two Afro-Palearctic bird migratory flyways. Future studies linking avian and mosquito species susceptibility, migratory connectivity patterns, and phylogeographic inference are suggested to elucidate the dynamics of emerging viruses.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology,General Chemistry,Multidisciplinary

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