Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events

Author:

Ridder Nina N.ORCID,Pitman Andy J.ORCID,Westra Seth,Ukkola AnnaORCID,Do Hong X.ORCID,Bador MargotORCID,Hirsch Annette L.ORCID,Evans Jason P.ORCID,Di Luca AlejandroORCID,Zscheischler JakobORCID

Abstract

AbstractCompound events (CEs) are weather and climate events that result from multiple hazards or drivers with the potential to cause severe socio-economic impacts. Compared with isolated hazards, the multiple hazards/drivers associated with CEs can lead to higher economic losses and death tolls. Here, we provide the first analysis of multiple multivariate CEs potentially causing high-impact floods, droughts, and fires. Using observations and reanalysis data during 1980–2014, we analyse 27 hazard pairs and provide the first spatial estimates of their occurrences on the global scale. We identify hotspots of multivariate CEs including many socio-economically important regions such as North America, Russia and western Europe. We analyse the relative importance of different multivariate CEs in six continental regions to highlight CEs posing the highest risk. Our results provide initial guidance to assess the regional risk of CE events and an observationally-based dataset to aid evaluation of climate models for simulating multivariate CEs.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology,General Chemistry

Reference45 articles.

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3. Zscheischler, J. et al. A typology of compound weather and climate events. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ. 1, 333–347 (2020).

4. SREX I. In A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Field, C. B. et al.) (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, 2012).

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