VARENN: graphical representation of periodic data and application to climate studies

Abstract

AbstractAnalyzing and utilizing spatiotemporal big data are essential for studies concerning climate change. However, such data are not fully integrated into climate models owing to limitations in statistical frameworks. Herein, we employ VARENN (visually augmented representation of environment for neural networks) to efficiently summarize monthly observations of climate data for 1901–2016 into two-dimensional graphical images. Using red, green, and blue channels of color images, three different variables are simultaneously represented in a single image. For global datasets, models were trained via convolutional neural networks. These models successfully classified the rises and falls in temperature and precipitation. Moreover, similarities between the input and target variables were observed to have a significant effect on model accuracy. The input variables had both seasonal and interannual variations, whose importance was quantified for model efficacy. We successfully illustrated the importance of short-term (monthly) fluctuations in the model accuracy, suggesting that our AI-based approach grasped some previously unknown patterns that are indicators of succeeding climate trends. VARENN is thus an effective method to summarize spatiotemporal data objectively and accurately.