Sustainable development, eco-tourism carrying capacity and fuzzy algorithm-a study on Kanas in Belt and Road

Abstract

AbstractIn this paper, the method of fuzzy pattern recognition is adopted in more precisely evaluating the actual state of eco-tourism development regarding a given tourist destination in comparison with the three standard patterns (saturated/optimal/deficient) of development degree. The research process is as follows: Firstly, the indictors of carrying capacity of a tourist destination and the corresponding measuring factors are established; secondly, an assessment group is recruited to work out the most constraining factors among the measuring factors; thirdly, by means of field survey, numerical values of the actual state are acquired; fourthly, there comes out the membership vectors and the membership matrix of the standard patterns corresponding to the vectors of three standard patterns, threshold and the actual state; Finally, it could be identified which standard pattern that the actual state is closest to via the lattice degrees of proximity. An exemplary case study on Kanas National Nature Reserves is attached to the logic calculus. This paper is contributed to dynamically monitor the threshold of tourism carrying capacity and precisely identify which carrying capacity (spatial resource/ecological environment/economic resources/people’s psychology/socio-culture) with potential risks.