Albumin platelet product as a novel score for liver fibrosis stage and prognosis

Abstract

AbstractFibrosis-4 index, a conventional biomarker for liver fibrosis stage, is confounded by age and hepatitis activity grade. The current retrospective multicenter study aimed to formulate the novel indices of liver fibrosis by mathematically combining items of peripheral blood examination and to evaluate ability of prognosis prediction. After a novel index was established in a training cohort, the index was tested in a validation cohort. Briefly, a total of 426 patients were enrolled in a training cohort. Albumin and platelet most strongly correlated to fibrosis stage among blood examination. Albumin platelet product (APP) = Albumin × platelet/1000 could differentiate the four stages of liver fibrosis (p < 0.05). APP indicated fibrosis stage independent from hepatitis activity grade. A cut-off value = 4.349 diagnosed cirrhosis with area under ROC more than 0.8. Multivariate analysis revealed that smaller APP independently contributed to HCC prevalence and overall mortality. The results were validated in another 707 patients with HCV infection. In conclusion, APP was not confounded by age or hepatitis activity grade contrary to Fibrosis-4 index. APP is as simple as physicians can calculate it by pen calculation. The product serves physicians in managing patients with chronic liver disease.