Safety risk assessment of loess tunnel construction under complex environment based on game theory-cloud model

Abstract

AbstractDue to the impact of the surrounding environment, the safety impact factors encountered during the construction of loess tunnels are complex and numerous, which causes frequent accidents, and there is a lack of safety risk assessment methods applicable to the construction of loess tunnels under complex environment. Based on the Luochuan tunnel project of the Xi’an–Yan’an High-Speed Railway, this paper analyzes the impact factors of loess tunnel construction risks, and 15 main impact factors involving subjective and objective factors are selected to establish the safety risk assessment system of loess tunnel construction under complex environment. To determine the weight of the impact factors, this paper introduces the combination weighting method based on game theory for the first time. Then, the risk assessment model of loess tunnel construction safety is established by using the conventional cloud model theory. Finally, the model is applied to the supporting project for verification. The results show that support and lining have the largest impact on tunnel construction safety, followed by construction management, surrounding rock grade, harmful engineering ground, monitoring measurement, forepoling, and construction method. The assessment result is consistent with the actual construction risk degree, which proves that the assessment result of the model is accurate and reliable, and the model has guiding significance for the safety risk assessment of loess tunnel construction under complex environment.