Estimating the energy consumption for residential buildings in semiarid and arid desert climate using artificial intelligence

Abstract

AbstractThis research aims to develop predictive models to estimate building energy accurately. Three commonly used artificial intelligence techniques were chosen to develop a new building energy estimation model. The chosen techniques are Genetic Programming (GP), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Evolutionary Polynomial Regression (EPR). Sixteen energy efficiency measures were collected and used in designing and evaluating the proposed models, which include building dimensions, orientation, envelope construction materials properties, window-to-wall ratio, heating and cooling set points, and glass properties. The performance of the developed models was evaluated in terms of the RMS, R2, and MAPE. The results showed that the EPR model is the most accurate and practical model with an error percent of 2%. Additionally, the energy consumption was found to be mainly governed by three factors which dominate 87% of the impact; which are building size, Solar Heating Glass Coefficient (SHGC), and the target inside temperature in summer.