COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK

Author:

Buckell John,Jones Joel,Matthews Philippa C.,Diamond Sir Ian,Rourke Emma,Studley Ruth,Cook Duncan,Walker Ann Sarah,Pouwels Koen B.,Thomas Tina,Ayoubkhani Daniel,Black Russell,Felton Antonio,Crees Megan,Jones Joel,Lloyd Lina,Sutherland Esther,Pritchard Emma,Vihta Karina-Doris,Doherty George,Kavanagh James,Chau Kevin K.,Hatch Stephanie B.,Ebner Daniel,Ferreira Lucas Martins,Christott Thomas,Dejnirattisai Wanwisa,Mongkolsapaya Juthathip,Cameron Sarah,Tamblin-Hopper Phoebe,Wolna Magda,Brown Rachael,Cornall Richard,Screaton Gavin,Cox Stuart,Paddon Kevin,James Tim,House Thomas,Robotham Julie,Birrell Paul,Jordan Helena,Sheppard Tim,Athey Graham,Moody Dan,Curry Leigh,Brereton Pamela,Jarvis Ian,Godsmark Anna,Morris George,Mallick Bobby,Eeles Phil,Hay Jodie,VanSteenhouse Harper,Lee Jessica,White Sean,Evans Tim,Bloemberg Lisa,Allison Katie,Pandya Anouska,Davis Sophie,Conway David I.,MacLeod Margaret,Cunningham Chris,Lythgoe Katrina,Bonsall David,Golubchik Tanya,Fryer Helen,

Abstract

AbstractThe physiological effects of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) are well documented, yet the behavioural effects not well known. Risk compensation suggests that gains in personal safety, as a result of vaccination, are offset by increases in risky behaviour, such as socialising, commuting and working outside the home. This is potentially important because transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is driven by contacts, which could be amplified by vaccine-related risk compensation. Here, we show that behaviours were overall unrelated to personal vaccination, but—adjusting for variation in mitigation policies—were responsive to the level of vaccination in the wider population: individuals in the UK were risk compensating when rates of vaccination were rising. This effect was observed across four nations of the UK, each of which varied policies autonomously.

Funder

NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre

Wellcome Trust

Francis Crick Institute

National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit

Medical Research Council

Huo Family Foundation

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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