Predictors for malignancy risk in subcentimeter thyroid nodules categorized as atypia/follicular lesion of undetermined significance by fine needle aspiration

Abstract

Abstract Little work has been done on the prediction of malignancy risk in patients with subcentimeter thyroid nodule (TN) categorized as atypia/follicular lesion of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS). We performed a retrospective analysis on the medical records of subcentimeter TNs whose initial fine-needle aspiration (FNA) diagnosis was AUS/FLUS at our center between November 2013 and August 2018. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to select independent factors associated with malignancy. Of the 324 patients who were classified as AUS/FLUS on initial FNA, 153 patients underwent surgical procedures and showed an associated malignancy rate of 45.10% (69/153). The malignancy rates in AUS/FLUS settings with and without repeat FNA were 38.30% (18/47), and 48.11% (51/106), respectively, p = 0.260. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age < 55 (OR 3.015, 95% CI 1.196–7.596), microcalcification (OR 9.162, 95% CI 3.332–25.916) and taller than wide shape (OR 10.785, 95% CI 4.108–28.319) were three independent predictors for malignancy. The malignancy rates in the patients with one or none of predictor and patients with two or three above predictors were 20.5% (17/83) and 74.3% (52/70), respectively, p < 0.001 (OR 11.216, 95% CI 5.266–23.885). In conclusion, our study showed that for subcentimeter TNs with AUS/FLUS category, patient’s age, taller than wide shape and microcalcification were three independent predictive factors for malignancy, which was helpful for decision-making of surgery or observation in such patient population.