1. The Economic and Financial Risks of a Changing Climate: Insights from Leading Experts Workshop Report (AAAS, 2014).
2. Draper, D. Assessment and propagation of model uncertainty. J. R. Statis. Soc. B 57, 45–97 (1995).
3. Oppenheimer, M. et al. in Climate Change: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. (eds Field, C. B. et al.) 1039–1099 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
4. Frigg, R., Smith, L. A. & Stainforth, D. A. The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09. Philos. Sci. 80, 886–897 (2013).
5. Knutti, R. & Hegerl, G. C. The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes. Nature Geosci. 1, 735–743 (2008).