Tsunami deposits highlight high-magnitude earthquake potential in the Guerrero seismic gap Mexico

Author:

Ramírez-Herrera María TeresaORCID,Corona NéstorORCID,Černý JanORCID,Gaidzik KrzysztofORCID,Sugawara DaisukeORCID,Forman Steven L.ORCID,Machain-Castillo María LuisaORCID,Gogichaishvili Avto

Abstract

AbstractGlobally, the largest tsunamigenic earthquakes have occurred along subduction zones. Devastating events exceeding magnitude 9, such as those in Chile, Sumatra, and Japan, struck in regions lacking instrumental records of similar events. Despite the absence of such events along the 1000-kilometer-long Mexican subduction zone, historical and geologic evidence suggests the occurrence of a magnitude 8.6 tsunamigenic earthquake. However, the Guerrero seismic gap has not experienced a high-magnitude earthquake in over 100 years. Here we present results on analyses of sediment grain size, geochemistry, microfossils, magnetic properties, and radiometric and optical stimulated luminescence dating conducted along the Guerrero coast. We provide evidence of a 2000-year history of large tsunamis triggered by potentially large earthquakes. Numerical modeling supports our findings, indicating a magnitude >8 event around the year 1300 in the Guerrero seismic gap. This evidence underscores the importance of assessing earthquake and tsunami potential using long-term evidence and instrumental observations along subduction zones globally.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Cited by 1 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Tracing the sources of paleotsunamis using Bayesian frameworks;Communications Earth & Environment;2024-09-02

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