Teleconnection of the Quasi-biennial oscillation with boreal winter surface climate in Eurasia and North America

Abstract

AbstractAn improved understanding of dynamical coupling from regional to global scales via tropospheric or stratospheric region can be helpful in improving seasonal forecasts for a given region of interest. Here we investigate dynamical coupling between the equatorial stratospheric Quasi-biennial oscillation and the boreal winter surface climate of the Northern Hemisphere mid and high latitudes using 42 years of data (1979–2020). For neutral El Niño Southern Oscillation periods, the Quasi-biennial oscillation westerly phase at 70 hPa favors high sea level pressure in the polar region, colder conditions and deeper snow over Eurasia and North America, and the opposite effects for the easterly phase. When Quasi-biennial oscillation anomalies arrive near the tropopause, it is observed that planetary wave activity is enhanced towards to extratropical region during westerly phase and reduced during easterly phase. This teleconnection pathway via the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere to the high latitude surface is independent of the “stratospheric pathway” (Holton-Tan mechanism). Diagnosis of this pathway can help to improve understanding of sub-seasonal to seasonal variations, and long-range forecasting over Eurasia and North America.