Radiomic tumor phenotypes augment molecular profiling in predicting recurrence free survival after breast neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Abstract

Abstract Background Early changes in breast intratumor heterogeneity during neoadjuvant chemotherapy may reflect the tumor’s ability to adapt and evade treatment. We investigated the combination of precision medicine predictors of genomic and MRI data towards improved prediction of recurrence free survival (RFS). Methods A total of 100 women from the ACRIN 6657/I-SPY 1 trial were retrospectively analyzed. We estimated MammaPrint, PAM50 ROR-S, and p53 mutation scores from publicly available gene expression data and generated four, voxel-wise 3-D radiomic kinetic maps from DCE-MR images at both pre- and early-treatment time points. Within the primary lesion from each kinetic map, features of change in radiomic heterogeneity were summarized into 6 principal components. Results We identify two imaging phenotypes of change in intratumor heterogeneity (p < 0.01) demonstrating significant Kaplan-Meier curve separation (p < 0.001). Adding phenotypes to established prognostic factors, functional tumor volume (FTV), MammaPrint, PAM50, and p53 scores in a Cox regression model improves the concordance statistic for predicting RFS from 0.73 to 0.79 (p = 0.002). Conclusions These results demonstrate an important step in combining personalized molecular signatures and longitudinal imaging data towards improved prognosis.