The phylodynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during 2020 in Finland

Author:

Truong Nguyen PhuocORCID,Kant RaviORCID,Van den Broeck FrederikORCID,Suvanto Maija T.ORCID,Alburkat HusseinORCID,Virtanen JenniORCID,Ahvenainen EllaORCID,Castren Robert,Hong Samuel L.ORCID,Baele GuyORCID,Ahava Maarit J.ORCID,Jarva Hanna,Jokiranta Suvi TuuliaORCID,Kallio-Kokko Hannimari,Kekäläinen EliisaORCID,Kirjavainen Vesa,Kortela Elisa,Kurkela Satu,Lappalainen Maija,Liimatainen Hanna,Suchard Marc A.ORCID,Hannula Sari,Ellonen Pekka,Sironen TarjaORCID,Lemey PhilippeORCID,Vapalahti OlliORCID,Smura TeemuORCID

Abstract

Abstract Background Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has caused millions of infections and fatalities globally since its emergence in late 2019. The virus was first detected in Finland in January 2020, after which it rapidly spread among the populace in spring. However, compared to other European nations, Finland has had a low incidence of SARS-CoV-2. To gain insight into the origins and turnover of SARS-CoV-2 lineages circulating in Finland in 2020, we investigated the phylogeographic and -dynamic history of the virus. Methods The origins of SARS-CoV-2 introductions were inferred via Travel-aware Bayesian time-measured phylogeographic analyses. Sequences for the analyses included virus genomes belonging to the B.1 lineage and with the D614G mutation from countries of likely origin, which were determined utilizing Google mobility data. We collected all available sequences from spring and fall peaks to study lineage dynamics. Results We observed rapid turnover among Finnish lineages during this period. Clade 20C became the most prevalent among sequenced cases and was replaced by other strains in fall 2020. Bayesian phylogeographic reconstructions suggested 42 independent introductions into Finland during spring 2020, mainly from Italy, Austria, and Spain. Conclusions A single introduction from Spain might have seeded one-third of cases in Finland during spring in 2020. The investigations of the original introductions of SARS-CoV-2 to Finland during the early stages of the pandemic and of the subsequent lineage dynamics could be utilized to assess the role of transboundary movements and the effects of early intervention and public health measures.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

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