Bifurcations of the climate system and greenhouse gas emissions

Author:

Sudakov Ivan1,Vakulenko Sergey2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Mathematics, University of Utah, 155 S1400 E, Room 233, Salt Lake City, UT 84112-0090, USA

2. Institute for Mechanical Engineering Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, 61 Bolshoy pr., V.O., 199178 Saint Petersburg, Russia

Abstract

We propose a generalization of the classical Goody model by taking into account greenhouse gas emission effects. We develop an asymptotic approach that allows us to obtain an expression for the greenhouse gas flux via the temperature and fluid fields. We show that there is a possible tipping point in atmospheric dynamics resulting from greenhouse gas emissions, where the climate system becomes bistable under sufficiently intensive greenhouse gas emissions.

Publisher

The Royal Society

Subject

General Physics and Astronomy,General Engineering,General Mathematics

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