Variability in atmospheric circulation and moisture flux over the Arctic

Abstract

Mean characteristics and variability in the spatio-temporal distribution of Arctic water vapour and vapour fluxes are examined using several different rawinsondederived databases. Precipitable water averaged over the polar cap, 70-90° N, peaks in July at 14.0 mm. Large poleward fluxes near the prime meridian reflect transport associated with north Atlantic cyclones and, for most months, a local maximum in available water vapour. The mean vapour flux convergence averaged for the polar cap peaks in September. There is a mean annual excess of precipitation minus evaporation ( P — E ) of 163 mm, with a 78 mm range between extreme years. High P — E is favoured by a meridional circulation accompanied by a more dominant North Atlantic cyclone track. No trend in annual P — E is apparent over the 1974-1991 period.