Intersectoral adaptation of Ukrainian farms in the context of war

Abstract

In the current economic environment, farms must respond to the challenges of the external environment and look for mechanisms to adapt and overcome the crisis, as well as diversify their business as additional sources of income. Therefore, the study of possible cross-sectoral adaptations of farms is a relevant research topic. Therefore, the purpose of this article is to provide a scientific basis for the predicates of diversification of farms' activities in overcoming the challenges of war. The study is based on classical approaches to management and marketing, as well as foresight predicates of agricultural development. The content of adaptation directions of farms' development was interpreted using empirical methods. The article analyses the sources of risks and threats, identifies targets and key aspects of the formation of intersectoral adaptation of farms: metrics, goals and foresight competences. As a result of the study of macro trends in the security of the agricultural sector, hypothetical analytical generalisations were formed, due to the uncertainty of the timeframe of the war and the impossibility of calculating the expected losses. Thus, the study made it possible to formulate theoretical and practical insights into the formation of adaptation mechanisms in the strategic perspective. The author substantiates the need for systematic and continuous monitoring of threats and invasions by systematising traditional and forecasting new risks. The key determinants of foresight adaptation under the influence of global trends are formulated. The mechanism of its implementation is presented through the identification of areas of intersectoral adaptation. The study is of practical value, generating information for farms, rural communities, stakeholders and potential investors who can benefit from the foresight of prospects and expectations formed in the context of cross-sectoral adaptation of farms in the post-war period