Methodology of the north of russia transport and technological multimodal system efficiency and reliability improvement

Abstract

Research in the field of the developed theoretical and methodological provisions and scientific methods application which have a universal character in the cargo delivery by all means of transport and improving the reliability of transportation by reducing risks in the North of Russia is being carried out. This research corresponds to the "Arctic" program which was adopted by the government of Russia. The application of the modern means of mobile communication, satellite navigation, Geo-informatics, information technology is an important condition for the improvement of economic activities production  management of transport companies involved in the delivery of goods to the Northern regions of Russia. Currently, process management of the cargo transportation to the Northern regions of the Russian Federation is at a low technological level, modern technical means and mathematical methods for optimizing the process are not used, the influence of climatic conditions on the process of Northern delivery goods transportation is poorly studied. On the basis of factor analysis with the use of systematic approach and the method of statistical modeling, measures for reducing risks in the essential goods transportation organization and management which appear in multimodal goods transportation and technological process to the North of Russia according to the requirements of GOST R 51901.1-2002 are determined. This made it possible to increase the reliability of the Northern delivery processes by  10–15 percent. According to the experts of the LLC "Shipping company "Vitim-Les" of Kirensk the developed method of calculating the upper beginning and ending ice phenomena confidence time limit  while planning the transportation of goods of Northern delivery allowed to reduce the transportation time by 10–15%.