Long-term demographic forecasting-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Long-term demographic forecasting

Published:2023-01-01 Issue:1 Volume:93 Page:21-35
ISSN:0869-5873
Container-title:Вестник Российской академии наук
language:
Short-container-title:Vestnik Rossijskoj akademii nauk

Author:

Makarov V. L.¹,Bakhtizin A. R.¹,Hua Luo²,Jie Wu³,Zili Wu⁴,Sidorenko M. Yu.⁵

Affiliation:

1. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute (CEMI), Russian Academy of Sciences

2. Shanghai International Studies University (SISU)

3. Center for Economic and Social Integration and Forecasting, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)

4. Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd.

5. State Academic University for the Humanities (GAUGN)

Abstract

The results of the latest demographic forecasts from the world’s leading specialized centers (United Nations Population Division, the Wittgenstein Center for Demography and Global Human Capital, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) are considered, demonstrating a certain bias in favor of individual countries and their calculation methods. The second part of this article provides a description of a digital twin of the planet’s demographic system constructed by a Chinese−Russian team and implemented in China’s national supercomputer center. In addition, the results of some calculations carried out using this tool are described.

Publisher

The Russian Academy of Sciences

Reference27 articles.

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