The Measurement of Family Size Preferences and Subsequent Fertility

Author:

Coombs Lolagene C.1

Affiliation:

1. Population Studies Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48104

Abstract

Abstract A new method for measuring preferences for number of children is presented and related to the subsequent fertility of a panel of married women over a five-year period. TheI-scales, developed on the basis of unfolding theory, reflect the individual’s utility function for children. They differ from global stated preferences and are more fine-grained measures, sensitive to variations from a first choice. Scales obtained at an initial interview were found to be consistently predictive of fertility in the prospective period, net of a number of other variables usually associated with differential fertility. Their potential both as independent and dependent variables in research is discussed.

Publisher

Duke University Press

Subject

Demography

Reference24 articles.

1. Preferred Family Size and Composition: An Application of the Method of Paired Comparisons;Balakrishna;Behavioral Sciences and Community Development,1971

2. Stability and Change in Family Size Expectations over the First Two Years of Marriage;Bumpass;Journal of Social Issues,1967

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