Measuring change and continuity in parity distributions

Author:

Pullum Thomas W.1,Tedrow Lucky M.2,Herting Jerald R.3

Affiliation:

1. Population Research Center, University of Texas, Austin, Texas 78712

2. Demographic Research Laboratory, Department of Sociology, Western Washington University, Bellingham, Washington 98225

3. Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305

Abstract

Abstract Procedures are developed to allocate the change in mean fertility to the change in specific parities or groups of parities. One procedure uses the proportion at each parity and another uses parity progression ratios. Both are based on the delta method for approximating change in a function of several variables. Drawing on an analogy to survival in a life table, the relational logit model is applied to parity progression. This method allows several parity distributions to be synthesized and to have differences summarized with two parameters. The three procedures are applied to successive cohorts of white U.S. women who completed their childbearing between 1920 and 1980.

Publisher

Duke University Press

Subject

Demography

Reference43 articles.

1. Birth forecasting based on birth order probabilities, with application to U.S. data;Al-Osh;Journal of the American Statistical Association,1986

2. The Baby Boom and its explanations;Bean;The Sociological Quarterly,1983

3. A framework for analyzing the proximate determinants of fertility;Bongaarts;Population and Development Review,1978

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