A heuristic proof of a long-standing conjecture of D. G. Kendall concerning the shapes of certain large random polygons

Abstract

In the early 1940s David Kendall conjectured that the shapes of the ‘large' (i.e. large area A) convex polygons determined by a standard Poisson line process in the plane tend to circularity (as A increases). Subject only to one heuristic argument, this conjecture and the corresponding two results with A replaced in turn by number of sides N and perimeter S, are proved. Two further similar limiting distributions are considered and, finally, corresponding limiting non-deterministic shape distributions for the small polygons are determined.