Influence of climatic phenomena on rainfall in the Tapajós River Basin

Abstract

Climate change results in weather phenomena such as those that are currently being observed, affecting precipitation, possibly more intensely in the Amazon region. This research is justified by the scarcity of climate risk mitigation measures in the Amazon. Rainfall data from 1992 to 2021 were analyzed, revealing long occurrences of dipole anomalies for consecutive months. Based on the climate indices, the best correlation results occurred in the years with high rainfall, coinciding with the occurrence of negative dipole and of La Niña. Therefore, climate indices can indicate the possible predictive capacity of extreme rainfall events. The results show that the influence of climatic phenomena is more pronounced in the northern region of the Tapajós River Basin.