Validation of a deep learning algorithm for bone age estimation among patients in the city of São Paulo, Brazil

Abstract

Abstract Objective: To validate a deep learning (DL) model for bone age estimation in individuals in the city of São Paulo, comparing it with the Greulich and Pyle method. Materials and Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of hand and wrist radiographs obtained for the determination of bone age. The manual analysis was performed by an experienced radiologist. The model used was based on a convolutional neural network that placed third in the 2017 Radiological Society of North America challenge. The mean absolute error (MAE) and the root-mean-square error (RMSE) were calculated for the model versus the radiologist, with comparisons by sex, race, and age. Results: The sample comprised 714 examinations. There was a correlation between the two methods, with a coefficient of determination of 0.94. The MAE of the predictions was 7.68 months, and the RMSE was 10.27 months. There were no statistically significant differences between sexes or among races (p > 0.05). The algorithm overestimated bone age in younger individuals (p = 0.001). Conclusion: Our DL algorithm demonstrated potential for estimating bone age in individuals in the city of São Paulo, regardless of sex and race. However, improvements are needed, particularly in relation to its use in younger patients.