Ocean forced variability of Totten Glacier mass loss

Author:

Roberts Jason12,Galton-Fenzi Benjamin K.12,Paolo Fernando S.3,Donnelly Claire4,Gwyther David E.25,Padman Laurie6,Young Duncan7,Warner Roland2,Greenbaum Jamin7,Fricker Helen A.3,Payne Antony J.4,Cornford Stephen4,Le Brocq Anne8,van Ommen Tas12,Blankenship Don7,Siegert Martin J.9

Affiliation:

1. Australian Antarctic Division, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

2. Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

3. Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA

4. School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK

5. Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia

6. Earth & Space Research, Corvallis, Oregon, USA

7. Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, USA

8. School of Geography, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK

9. Grantham Institute and Department of Earth Science and Engineering, Imperial College London, South Kensington, London, UK

Abstract

AbstractA large volume of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet drains through the Totten Glacier (TG) and is thought to be a potential source of substantial global sea-level rise over the coming centuries. We show that the surface velocity and height of the floating part of the TG, which buttresses the grounded component, have varied substantially over two decades (1989–2011), with variations in surface height strongly anti-correlated with simulated basal melt rates (r = 0.70, p < 0.05). Coupled glacier–ice shelf simulations confirm that ice flow and thickness respond to both basal melting of the ice shelf and grounding on bed obstacles. We conclude the observed variability of the TG is primarily ocean-driven. Ocean warming in this region will lead to enhanced ice-sheet dynamism and loss of upstream grounded ice.

Publisher

Geological Society of London

Subject

Geology,Ocean Engineering,Water Science and Technology

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