Smart grid power load type forecasting: research on optimization methods of deep learning models

Abstract

Introduction: In the field of power systems, power load type prediction is a crucial task. Different types of loads, such as domestic, industrial, commercial, etc., have different energy consumption patterns. Therefore, accurate prediction of load types can help the power system better plan power supply strategies to improve energy utilization and stability. However, this task faces multiple challenges, including the complex topology of the power system, the diversity of time series data, and the correlation between data. With the rapid development of deep learning methods, researchers are beginning to leverage these powerful techniques to address this challenge. This study aims to explore how to optimize deep learning models to improve the accuracy of load type prediction and provide support for efficient energy management and optimization of smart grids.Methods: In this study, we propose a deep learning method that combines graph convolutional networks (GCN) and sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) models and introduces an attention mechanism. The methodology involves multiple steps: first, we use the GCN encoder to process the topological structure information of the power system and encode node features into a graph data representation. Next, the Seq2Seq decoder takes the historical time series data as the input sequence and generates a prediction sequence of the load type. We then introduced an attention mechanism, which allows the model to dynamically adjust its attention to input data and better capture the relationship between time series data and graph data.Results: We conducted extensive experimental validation on four different datasets, including the National Grid Electricity Load Dataset, the Canadian Electricity Load Dataset, the United States Electricity Load Dataset, and the International Electricity Load Dataset. Experimental results show that our method achieves significant improvements in load type prediction tasks. It exhibits higher accuracy and robustness compared to traditional methods and single deep learning models. Our approach demonstrates advantages in improving load type prediction accuracy, providing strong support for the future development of the power system.Discussion: The results of our study highlight the potential of deep learning techniques, specifically the combination of GCN and Seq2Seq models with attention mechanisms, in addressing the challenges of load type prediction in power systems. By improving prediction accuracy and robustness, our approach can contribute to more efficient energy management and the optimization of smart grids.